Stocks Investing – My Road to Wealth & to Help People


Reverse Mortgage – Unlocking Your Home Equity
August 28, 2008, 4:26 pm
Filed under: Real Estate | Tags:

http://money.cnn.com/2008/08/26/real_estate/unlocking_equity_levenson.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2008082711

(Fortune Magazine) — The housing rescue package that Congress scrambled to pass in July was aimed primarily at stemming foreclosures and shoring up Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. But it also contains provisions that make reverse mortgages a better deal for older homeowners who want to turn their equity into cash.

Lawmakers are paying attention to reverse mortgages because these once-marginal products have exploded over the past decade, thanks to low interest rates and rising home values. The federal government, which backs more than 90% of all such loans through the Home Equity Conversion Mortgage (HECM) program, guaranteed 107,400 reverse mortgages last year, up from 7,900 in 1998. What’s more, an industry group estimates that even after the drop in housing prices, seniors’ equity in their homes was worth $4.2 trillion at the end of 2007. With slimmer savings and pensions than their parents had, more boomers will probably be turning to reverse mortgages when they retire. But these products are much more complicated than your garden-variety loan, so before you rush to download an application, you have to do some homework.

Here are the basics

Reverse mortgages are like home-equity loans, with a few key differences. First, they’re available only to people age 62 and older. The amount you can borrow depends on your age, the value of your home, and interest rates (check out AARP’s calculator at rmaarp.com for an estimate). You can choose to receive your money in a lump sum, monthly installments, or a line of credit. There are no monthly payments to make – and therefore you don’t have to meet an income requirement to qualify.

In fact, you needn’t repay the loan until you move out of your house, sell it, or die: The debt is settled with the proceeds from the sale of your home. If there’s money left over, it goes to you or your heirs. But what if your house sells for less than what you owe? (That’s not an idle question in a time of plunging home prices.) Don’t worry. The federal government covers any shortfall for HECM loans, and for others the mortgage holder simply eats the loss.

So far, the reverse mortgage sounds like a pretty sweet deal. But you know it can’t be that simple, and it isn’t. Reverse mortgages turn out to be a very expensive way to borrow. The basic rates are currently lower than those on home-equity loans – the monthly adjustable rate for HECM loans is now around 4.3%, vs. 5.3% for home-equity lines of credit – but reverse mortgages are “rising debt” loans: The interest you owe is tacked onto the balance, eventually becoming a substantial portion of your overall debt, and you end up owing interest on the interest, compounding the cost.

Borrowers are also hit with an avalanche of upfront charges, including origination fees; the cost of the appraisal, title search, and the like; and a 2% mortgage insurance premium for all HECM loans. The new law brings some relief: It limits origination fees to 2% of the loan up to the first $200,000 and 1% of the rest, with a cap at $6,000.

Whether a reverse mortgage is worthwhile depends on your situation; for those who qualify for a home-equity loan and can make the monthly payments, that’s usually the better option. Another factor is how long you will be in your home. It doesn’t make sense to pay the fees if you plan to move within a few years. Since borrowers remain responsible for maintenance, taxes, and homeowners’ insurance, selling your house to trade down or rent may be a cheaper way to tap your home equity.

One more point

In the past some reverse-mortgage brokers pressured borrowers to buy investments like deferred annuities with the proceeds of their loans. The new law prohibits lenders from requiring borrowers to buy investments or insurance products as a condition of getting the loan. Indeed, you should never take out a reverse mortgage to buy investments. To get the kinds of returns that would cover the interest on the loan, you would need to take on a level of risk that’s unacceptable when your home equity is on the line.



Maybank profit slides
August 28, 2008, 4:30 am
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags: ,

1) final dividend is RM0.20

2) total dividend for the year ended 2007 is RM0.525

3) based on maybank current stock price RM7.35, gross dividend yield will be 7.14%

4) profit increased by 7% if dont include the write down buying BII

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http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2008/8/28/business/1902675&sec=business

The drop largely attributed to write-off of deposit for BII

KUALA LUMPUR: Malayan Banking Bhd (Maybank) posted a lower profit for its financial year ended June 30, 2008, after writing off the deposit placed for the purchase of PT Bank Internasional Indonesia (BII). The write-off notwithstanding, it remains hopeful that a deal could still be reached.

The country’s largest bank, however, expects its financial performance for the current year to remain flattish given the tougher economic environment.

For the year, Maybank posted a net profit of RM2.92bil, or 60.08 sen a share, down about 8% from RM3.18bil, or 66.07 sen a share, which was largely due to a writedown of RM483.8mil for the deposit placed for the purchase of 100% equity in Sorak Financial Holdings Pte Ltd, the controlling shareholder of BII.

Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid answering questions on Wednesday.

The net loss of the deposit, however, was RM290mil as Maybank had made RM193mil in foreign exchange gains from money placed earlier in Singapore to pay for the entire BII acquisition.

“This was a reasonable performance considering the challenging environment,’’ Maybank president and chief executive officer Datuk Seri Abdul Wahid Omar told a press conference yesterday.

Stripping out the one-off adjustments, which included the provision for the deposit, staff costs and information technology investments, Maybank would have posted a slight gain in profit.

Revenue for the year was higher at RM16.15bil compared with RM15.18bil in the previous financial year. Pre-tax profit, with the one-off items, was RM4.09bil compared with RM4.36bil previously.

Commercial banking accounted for 92% of total pre-tax profit and, by geography, business in Malaysia made up 81% of pre-tax profit.

The bank declared a final dividend of 20 sen a share.

For the year, Maybank said, loans growth was 16% with loans overseas expanding at a faster pace of 27%. Margins declined a couple of basis points to 2.71% but there was a huge jump in non-interest income for the year on higher transactional fees, commissions and foreign exchange.

Loans for the purchase of vehicles saw the largest growth in its loans book, followed by credit cards. Loans for house purchases, however, declined, which Maybank attributed to tough market conditions.

Business loans, especially to small and medium-scale industries, saw brisk gains as did loans from overseas operations, especially Singapore where there was a 31.9% rise in loans in ringgit terms (23.2% in Singapore dollars).

Despite the revenue increase, the rise in cost was more rapid, which resulted in the group’s higher cost-to-income ratio.

Wahid aims to bring the cost-to-income ratio down by tackling lumpy IT investments. He said while job cuts were not on the agenda, better management of recruitment and moving more staff to revenue-generating functions would be done.

Net non-performing loans ratio declined to 1.92% as at end June.

On the current year, Wahid said it was challenging and there would be more provisions. The bank’s financial performance is expected to be flat against the financial year ended June 2008.

Wahid said Maybank still had ambition to own a bank in Indonesia – something it needs to do to fulfil its goal of being one of the top banks in South-East Asia – but the deal for BII would not go through under the current divestment rules set by Bapepam, Indonesia’s capital market supervisory agency.

“We are looking at various options that will be acceptable to all parties,’’ he said, adding that a decision was expected by Sept 26.



EPF withdrawal to reduce housing principal mortgage
August 26, 2008, 2:15 pm
Filed under: Real Estate | Tags: ,

today i went to EPF to know whether it is possible to withdraw EPF to reduce my pricinpal if i refinance my mortgage.

According to the officer,  it is possible but EPF will only cover up to the original S&P price.

For example:-

1) Initial loan amount: RM100,000

2) Withdraw EPF to reduce principal: RM20,000

3) New balance: RM80,000

so lets say you refinance and can get new loan based on market price at RM200,000

4) New loan amount : RM180,000 (minus 10% downpayment of RM20k)

5) if you want to withdraw next time to reduce your loan principal, you only can withdraw up to RM80k.

I want to settle my housing loan by end 2012. for me, my home (for own stay) must be fully settled so i can save interest and has peace of mind if anything happens.if you calculate, u can save lots of lots of interest and can use the monthly payment to buy new house for investment.

but for my investment in houses, i wont settle it quickly. it is the other way around, if i have equity i will refinance and use the capital from the equity to buy new house for investment.



Bank Negara maintains OPR at 3.5%
August 25, 2008, 3:52 pm
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags: ,

again i would like to comment on the OPR. I read recently most analyst (if not mistaken CIMB, OSK & Kenanga) said that bank negara will increase the OPR due to inflation.

but again i totally disagree with them. why? we need to understand what is OPR for? OPR if one of the mechanisms that bank negara can use to combat inflation.  current malaysian inflation is due to fuel hike not due to excessive demand. bank negara will increase the OPR if inflation due to excessive demand but little goods to be offered.

current inflation is due to fuel hike. even the rakyat has less disposal income to spend. most of us dont spend  because we afraid that they would be another fuel increase and all our money already spent on fuel and expensive foods. if bank negara increases OPR, our monthly mortgage will increase and the rakyat will be in big problem and also businesses.

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http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2008/8/25/business/20080825183816&sec=business

KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara Malaysia has decided to maintain the overnight policy rate (OPR) at 3.50%, as its priority is to avoid a fundamental downturn in economic activity.

The central bank announced on Monday that domestic inflation was expected to remain high for the remaining part of 2008 and going into early 2009 before moderating substantially in the second half.

However, its greater priority was to avoid a fundamental downturn in economic activity and hence the decision to keep the OPR unchanged.

Last Friday, the Statistics Department said inflation, measured by the consumer price index (CPI), rose to a near 27-year high of 8.5% in July, fuelled by the surge in fuel prices.

Bank Negara said on Monday there was growing evidence of a deterioration of economic performance across a number of the developed economies. There were also signs of moderating growth in several emerging economies.

“This has been the outcome of financial stress, tight credit conditions, asset market weakness and the impact of higher energy and commodity prices,” it said.

The central bank said domestic inflation was expected to remain high for the remaining part of 2008 and going into early 2009, primarily reflecting the first-round effects of the adjustments in energy prices, and the higher commodity and food prices.

“Overall, the weaker economic conditions will reduce the likelihood of second-round effects that will generate persistent inflationary trends. The assessment is therefore that inflation is expected to moderate substantially in the second-half of 2009,” it said.

Bank Negara said with the expected moderation in inflation in the medium term, the greater priority was to avoid a fundamental downturn in economic activity.

“The current level of the OPR is consistent with this outlook. Going forward, the (central) Bank will maintain its focus on the medium term outlook for inflation and growth, and will carefully assess global and domestic developments in setting the stance of monetary policy,” it said.



Buffett says US economy’s troubles will continue
August 23, 2008, 2:25 pm
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags:

i like this buffet guy…his strategies in investing. he is really patient even though he has 31billion of cash he wont simply invest without getting the return he is expecting.

i had made a mistake i invested even though i knew it was hard for me to get the return. but anyway i learned my lesson.

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http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=/2008/8/23/business/20080823085956&sec=business

OMAHA, Nebraska (AP) – Billionaire investor Warren Buffett said Friday the U.S. economy continues to be in a recession, by his definition, and will continue to be for at least several more months.

During a live appearance on CNBC, Buffett said ripples of the credit crunch are continuing to cause problems in financial businesses and the economy.

Earlier this year he said a financial crisis reveals which players have been “swimming naked,” because the tide goes out. That picture has worsened along with the crisis.

“We found out that Wall Street has been kind of a nudist beach,” said Buffett, who is chairman and chief executive of Berkshire Hathaway Inc., which is based in Omaha.

Buffett said activity at businesses Berkshire owns, especially ones related to housing construction such as Shaw carpet and Acme Brick, continued to slow during the summer.

He is confident the U.S. will be doing better five years from now, Buffett said, but the economy could be worse five months from now.

Buffett said the economy is in a recession because most Americans aren’t doing as well today as before. The technical definition of a recession most economists use is two consecutive quarters of negative growth in the nation’s gross domestic product.

Regarding the nation’s credit crunch, Buffett said he believes mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac are too big to fail, but that doesn’t mean that all the shareholder equity in those companies can’t be wiped out.

“They’re looking for help, obviously. And the scale of help is such that I don’t think it can come from the private sector,” Buffett said.

So the Oracle of Omaha predicted that the federal government eventually will have to step in to help because the troubles of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac seem to be growing and feeding on themselves. Together the companies hold about half of U.S. mortgage debt and are the largest source of funding for home mortgages. But they are seeing too many defaults. Losses between April and June for the two companies totaled $3.1 billion, and investors fear they will continue to grow.

Buffett said it is likely more banks will fail, especially in areas where there was a real estate bubble and the bank got heavily involved in the housing market.

“What we’ll see is failures where the bankers were dumb in what they did,” Buffett said.

But Buffett said the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s guarantee on accounts up to $100,000 should prevent bank failures driven by panic.

Buffett said America’s current economic struggles create investment opportunities, and his phone is ringing more lately than it was three months ago. But he said many of those calls have come from desperate people and did not represent good investment opportunities.

As the stock market problems continue, Buffett is looking for ways to use Berkshire’s roughly $31 billion in cash.

“The cheaper they get, the harder I’ll look,” he said, referring to shares. He said Berkshire added to some of its holdings because share prices fell enough to be attractive. The company had been buying shares of either Wells Fargo & Co. or American Express Co. in recent months, he said, but wouldn’t specify which.

Shares of both American Express and Wells Fargo rose in Friday morning trading after Buffett’s comments. American Express gained $1.29, or 3.5 percent, to trade at $38.30. And Wells Fargo gained $1.02, or 3.6 percent, to trade at $29.46.

Buffett also said Friday he sold nearly two- thirds of Berkshire’s 35.6 million shares of Anheuser-Busch Cos. stock because he hadn’t been sure Belgian brewer InBev SA’s takeover bid of $65 a share would succeed. Anheuser agreed to the $52 billion bid in July.

“In retrospect, I was wrong to partially sell the holdings,” Buffett said, disclosing that he sold the stock for about $61 or $62 a share. At the end of June Berkshire still held 13.8 million shares of Anheuser.

Buffett said the trip he and friend Bill Gates took earlier this week to Canada to look at Alberta’s oil sands shouldn’t be interpreted as a sign that he or Berkshire will invest in mining companies. Buffett said what he learned on the trip may be useful a couple years down the road, but he has no current plans to invest in oil sands mining.

On the political front, Buffett encouraged Americans not to expect perfection from candidates. He said the presidential race features two good candidates this year, but he favors Democrat Barack Obama even though he doesn’t agree with all of his proposals.

“The only way to get somebody who agrees with you 100 percent is to run yourself, and I have no interest in that,” Buffett said.

Berkshire subsidiaries include insurance, clothing, furniture, candy companies, restaurants, natural gas and corporate jet firms. Berkshire also has major investments in such companies as Coca-Cola Co. and Wells Fargo & Co. – AP



PTPTN from 3% to 1%
August 13, 2008, 2:55 pm
Filed under: Personal Finance | Tags:

It is annnouced by the education ministry that the government has reduced the interest from 3% to 1% effective 1st June. Good one for students and please use the money wisely.

http://www.utusan.com.my/utusan/info.asp?y=2008&dt=0813&pub=Utusan_Malaysia&sec=Terkini&pg=bt_13.htm



Small German Private Company buys pubic company listed in DAX
August 12, 2008, 3:19 pm
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags:
this article explained how smaller private german companies bought bigger public company listed in DAX. It was shocked on how these smaller companies can bought bigger rivals. the conclusions from the article are:
1) smaller private company focus more on long term growth of the company whereas public company focus more on short term results. that’s why private has 6.7% revenue growth compared to 4% in public
2) they take care of their employees making their employees more productive compared to public who cares more to their shareholders making their workers less productive
3) private company management can focus on the business whereas public focus more to the shareholders return.
4) private company has more cash as they dont need to return back the cash to shareholders.
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Les entreprises familiales allemandes partent à l’assaut des groupes cotés
LE MONDE | 11.08.08 | 15h38  •  Mis à jour le 11.08.08 | 15h38
BERLIN CORRESPONDANTE

es entreprises familiales allemandes vont t-elles supplanter les fonds d’investissement en matière de fusions-acquisitions ? En déposant le 15 juillet une offre de rachat de l’équipementier automobile Continental, le groupe allemand Schaeffler, de bien plus petite taille, a crée la surprise outre-Rhin. Cette entreprise est la troisième entreprise familiale en un peu plus d’un an à tenter de s’emparer d’une grande société coté au DAX.

OAS_AD(‘Middle1′);

Les deux autres sont Porsche, le constructeur de voitures de sports, en passe de racheter le groupe Volkswagen, et le conglomérat Haniel, qui est devenu, en 2007, le principal actionnaire du groupe de distribution Metro. “Ce sont des transactions qu’on n’avait pas pu observer jusqu’à récemment”, souligne Klaus Heiner Röhl, de l’institut d’économie de Cologne (IW), proche du patronat.

Ces entreprises profitent de la faiblesse boursière qui fait de nombreux grands noms du DAX des proies faciles. Leurs finances sont solides, car elles n’ont pas cessé d’accroître leurs performances depuis les années 1990 et affichent souvent des résultats supérieurs aux sociétés du DAX.

Une étude d’Accenture publiée en juin montre que les vingt plus importantes entreprises familiales ont augmenté leur chiffre d’affaires de 6,7 % par an en moyenne entre 2002 et 2006. Dans le même temps, vingt des trente entreprises du DAX ont augmenté le leur de 4 %.

Les entreprises familiales “disposent d’importantes liquidités, notamment parce qu’elles ne doivent pas redistribuer leurs bénéfices à leurs actionnaires, souligne Peter May, professeur à l’Institut de développement du management de Lausanne et fondateur d’une société de conseil pour les entreprises familiales. Elles sont souvent mieux administrées, car elles gèrent leur propre argent et s’attachent à un comportement économe”.

Les prises de risques à répétition d’un Jürgen Schrempp, qui était aux commandes de Mercedes Benz et Daimler Chrysler (devenu entre-temps Daimler), entre 1995 et 2005, seraient impensables dans une telle structure.

“Il y a plus de dix entreprises familiales qui pourraient acquérir une société du DAX”, a déclaré récemment Martin Reitz, coprésident des opérations d’investissements chez UBS en Allemagne. Daimler serait la prochaine cible.

“DES CYCLES DE TRENTE ANS”

Les entreprises familiales ont l’avantage de ne pas être soumises à la pression des marchés financiers ; elles ne doivent pas publier leurs chiffres d’activité et peuvent développer une stratégie de long terme. “Ces entreprises pensent sur des cycles de trente ans”, explique M. May.

Le gouvernement suit cette évolution d’un oeil favorable. Concernant l’offre de rachat de Continental par Schaeffler, l’entourage du ministre de l’économie Michael Glos (CSU) avait laissé entendre que Berlin préférait “qu’une entreprise familiale allemande prenne le contrôle d’une société stratégique pour l’industrie allemande plutôt qu’un investisseur étranger ou un fonds d’Etat”.

D’autant qu’en période de crise elles semblent plus résistantes. Selon une étude de l’institut de recherche sur les petites et moyennes entreprises, les cinq cents plus grandes entreprises familiales ont vu leurs effectifs augmenter de 4,8 % entre 2003 et 2005, période durant laquelle les sociétés du Dax réduisaient les leurs de 1,8 %.



buffet reports dip in profit
August 9, 2008, 2:23 am
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags: ,

Warren buffet is a discipline investor who will wait until the opportunities comes with a good bargain value to him. good one

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http://www.nytimes.com/2008/08/09/business/09insure.html?_r=1&ref=business&pagewanted=print&oref=slogin

Berkshire Hathaway, the holding company controlled by Warren E. Buffett, posted its third consecutive profit decline on Friday on slowing returns from insurance.

Second-quarter net income decreased 7.6 percent, to $2.88 billion, or $1,859 a share, from $3.12 billion, or $2,018 a share, a year earlier, the Omaha company said. Excluding investment gains, profit was $1,465 a share, beating the $1,352 average estimate of two analysts compiled by Bloomberg.

Mr. Buffett has been buying depressed bank stocks, seeking foreign acquisitions and financing buyouts as competition and storms crimp insurance profits. While buyout firms struggle to borrow, Mr. Buffett pledged $3 billion last month to Dow Chemical’s $15.4 billion purchase of Rohm & Haas. In April, he agreed to put up $6.5 billion to help Mars Inc. buy Wm. Wrigley Jr. Company in a deal that gives Berkshire a discounted stake in the chewing gum maker.

Berkshire’s earnings from underwriting insurance and reinsurance policies fell 43 percent, to $360 million. The businesses typically provide about half of Berkshire’s profit.

Commercial insurance rates in the United States fell 13 percent from a year earlier, the Council of Insurance Agents and Brokers said.

Increases in the value of some holdings and derivatives raised earnings by $610 million, compared with $608 million a year earlier.

Investment income at Berkshire’s insurance units, including stock dividends, rose 2.6 percent, to $884 million.

Berkshire shares had their worst first half since 1990 and are down 18 percent this year in New York Stock Exchange composite trading. Berkshire’s results were posted Friday after the close of regular trading, when its shares were up $275 to $115.750.



Europe Tries to Handle Political Fallout of Pension Cuts
August 6, 2008, 1:04 am
Filed under: Stocks Investing | Tags: , ,

FRANKFURT — Social Security is known as the “third rail” of American politics, and messing with retirement benefits can prove politically fatal in Europe too. Yet, in recent months and years some Europeans had tried to defuse the time bomb posed by millions of retirees receiving government benefits.

Italy had gradually raised the retirement age to 59. France had increased the tenure requirement for government workers to receive full pension to 40 years of service. Germany had curtailed annual government pension increases and raised the retirement age to 67 from 65.

But inflation and a squeeze on living standards for older workers are fueling a backlash, leading some governments to reconsider — or even suspend — approved reforms.

The fears of European workers are not unwarranted. Forty percent of Belgians over 75, for instance, will live in poverty by 2016, according to the National Pensions Office in Brussels, in part because of lower pensions.

Such statistics are one reason even maintaining already enacted reforms is proving difficult. Another is Helmut Polzer.

In a fit of rage last August, Mr. Polzer, a retired real estate developer from near Munich, wrote his first letter to the editor in 50 years of reading his local newspaper, complaining about German politicians turning pensioners into ”paupers.” Almost as an afterthought, he suggested a solution.

”I would be happy if the millions of pensioners — our numbers are growing — and all citizens disadvantaged by politics finally found their way into their own political party,” Mr. Polzer wrote to the newspaper, Münchner Merkur.

Weeks later, Mr. Polzer, 70, was presiding over a meeting to create the Pensioner Party, which plans to field candidates in regional elections this autumn on a platform of creating a more generous pension system.

While still a nascent operation, the Pensioner Party’s message resonates broadly with voters in Germany and across Europe.

With a higher birth rate and greater immigration, the United States faces a less acute problem with government pension benefits, despite periodic flare-ups over Social Security and fears about the long-run fiscal stability of the pension systems for many state and local government workers.

Most of the costs of an aging American society have to do with skyrocketing health care costs — far less of a problem in Europe. The widespread use of private pensions and employer-based savings plans also eases the pressure on taxpayers to pay retirement costs.

But in much of Europe, the need for change is more pressing.

State pension costs as a percentage of gross domestic product are edging steadily upward. In France, for example, they will reach 14.8 percent in 2050, from 13.3 percent today, according to the European Commission. That would put French pension costs on the high end of the European average. It would also be more than three times the portion of the United States economy devoted to federal retirement programs.

A measure introduced in 2003 by François Fillon, then the French employment minister, now prime minister, required public sector workers to serve 40 years before getting a full pension. But the rule was riddled with exemptions for train operators, electricity and natural gas workers, and other groups.

Most of those loopholes were closed last autumn after those affected were promised higher pay to end a nine-day strike. Now President Nicholas Sarkozy wants to extend the required working time to 41 years by 2012 for the entire French workforce, though without raising the formal retirement age from 60 as employers have demanded.

Opinion polls show that a majority of French people back the 41-year-rule, but are also opposed to increasing the retirement age.

Germany has gone farther than France, probably because it is under more intense demographic pressure.

More than 15 percent of the population here is now older than 65 — about twice the proportion in France. In addition, during a long phase of high unemployment, German politicians had been under pressure to reduce employer social security contributions to lower the cost of creating jobs.

In 2004, Gerhard Schröder, then the chancellor, threatened to resign if parliament did not pass his pension package reducing annual increases with a formula that took into account demographic changes and tax incentives for private pension savings.

Last year, it was the current government of Angela Merkel who raised Germany’s official retirement age to 67 from 65. But with national elections coming up next year, the German parliament suspended the Schröder formula for one year. That had the effect of doubling the 2008 increase in pension payments to 1.1 percent — hardly a windfall but clear evidence of the constant pressure politicians are under, even after new laws are passed. The decision took place against the backdrop of a debate in Germany about rising poverty among the elderly, which though small is expected to rise as pensions shrink.

“They did a very good job of putting the system on a sensible financial track,” said Monika Queisser, a pension expert at the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development. “The problem now is the social sustainability of what Germany has adopted.”

One possibly offsetting factor could be the surprising success some countries have had with the introduction of private pensions.

Sweden created a system in 1999 that siphoned off 2.5 percent of a worker’s gross income and invested it in privately managed stock and bond funds. Employees choose the funds themselves, based on their appetite for risk.

Since then, countries including Bulgaria, Romania, Poland and all the Baltic states, as well as Germany, have adopted similar programs. (A proposal by the Bush administration to do much the same died at the beginning of the President’s second term.)

Germany’s system, using tax incentives to persuade people to save for their own retirement, got off to a slow start in 2001. But now some 11 million Germans have bought into the plan.

Mr. Polzer, the founder of Germany’s pensioners’ party, is even campaigning in favor of extending it. Thomas Langer a professor of business at the University of Münster, who studies pensions, said, “I have no doubt that in the last five years there has been a serious change in mentality in Europe.” He added, “It would have been nice if we had tackled it earlier though.”

The question is whether broader changes can be implemented — and made to stick — before the demographic time bomb explodes.

Vincenzo Galasso is a professor at Bocconi University in Milan and co-author of Contro i Giovanna (Against The Young), a popular book that pictured a Cronos-like monster devouring young people. Italians are not eating their young, but they are, in Mr. Galasso’s view, fleecing them. After agreeing to raise the retirement age to 60 by 2009, Italy put off the reform until 2017.

The median-aged Italian voter is around 46 years old now, but will be in his late 50s by midcentury, Mr. Galasso points out. Unless the retirement age rises further — and soon — more Italians will have a vested interested in opposing change.

“We’re on a continuum where reform becomes harder and harder,” Mr. Galasso said. “I hope that there is no point of no return.”



Less Low Medium Cost Houses built
August 5, 2008, 4:04 am
Filed under: Real Estate | Tags:

less supply for low medium cost houses and the impact will increase the price of existing houses in this categories.

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The government is expecting a 20-30% reduction in the number of low medium-cost
houses built this year as developers struggle with higher development cost. Deputy
Minister of Housing and Local Government Datuk Hamzah Zainudin said the country’s
housing sector is showing signs of slowing down as material costs have gone up by
almost 30%. Hamzah said amid the current soaring prices, the government is unlikely to
meet its target to build 50,000 to 80,000 low medium-cost houses this year. He added that
“quite a number” of private developers have indicated to the government that they are
unable to sell such houses at a fixed price of RM42,000 each. (BT)